Friday, January 17, 2020

Immigration drops sharply from India, China, Mexico


Donald Trump's immigration proposals and the anti-immigrant rhetoric from the White House are having an impact: Immigration is down since Trump has taken office. Between 2016 and 2018, the US Census says foreign-born immigrants have been declining.

Despite the opposition to this administration's immigration proposals that mostly wind up in the courts, foreign-born immigration this decade peaked at 1.46 million in 2016 when Trump was elected and declined by 250,000 to 1.21 million in 2018, according to the American Community Survey, a part of the US Census.


Celebrating the the declining number of immigrants might be short-lived because fewer immigrants doesn't bode well for the economy.

“From an economic standpoint,” Wharton assistant professor Exequiel Hernandez said, “the research evidence is pretty clear in showing that what’s best for the U.S. economy is to have more immigration.”

Besides increasing the number of consumers, immigrants provide a workforce who pay taxes that fund social security, infrastructure, the military and the social safety net.

The US Census Bureau’s Vintage 2019 population estimates released today show that international migration added about 7.9 million people to the nation’s population since the last census in 2010. Annual growth in net international migration slowed between 2015 and 2016 and has been declining since.

Foreign-born immigration is the largest contributor to net international migration and is measured based on the ACS estimate of the foreign born whose residence one year ago was outside the United States, Puerto Rico and US Pacific territories.

Foreign-born immigration this decade peaked at 1.46 million in 2016 and declined by 250,000 to 1.21 million in 2018, according to the ACS.

At the beginning of the decade, Mexico was the largest, but immigration from Mexico has dropped significantly since the recession at the end of the last decade. Since then, China replaced Mexico to become the largest sending country of foreign-born immigrants to the United States as of 2018, according to a report by Forbes magazine.



Immigration from South Korea fell by 18.9% between FY 2016 and FY 2018, according to Forbes. Immigration from Vietnam declined by 18.4% between FY 2016 and FY 2018. Compared to FY 2016, immigration was lower in FY 2018 from India (falling 7.5%), the Dominican Republic (dropping 6.1%) and the Philippines (down 11.3%), reports Forbes.

Much of the decline for these countries can be attributed to lower admissions in the Immediate Relatives of US Citizens category, which anti-immigration activists perjoritively call "chain migration." 

Between FY 2016 and FY 2018, the number of Immediate Relatives of US Citizens admitted from Mexico fell by 14,002 (11.7%), the Immediate Relatives of US Citizens from China dropped by 7,636, or 24.1%, while family members in that category declined by 17% from the Dominican Republic, 24.1% from the Philippines, 14.8% from India, and 17.3% from South Korea,” according to the National Foundation for American Policy. Immediate Relatives from Vietnam fell by 12.7%.



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